(Originally published on Curbed)
Across the U.S., and especially in major cities, starter homes—that is, smaller, entry-level properties attainable for individuals, couples, or families just starting out—are increasingly hard to come by. In numbers, that’s a 40 percent inventory drop nationwide since 2012, along with a 6 percent increase in the share of income needed to purchase one.
A longer, narrower road to homeownership may be the new reality for most younger Americans, but what’s the situation like in other cities around the world? Do first-time house hunters overseas have to save for a long time? And how do their options look once they get there?
To get a taste, Curbed talked to real estate agents in half a dozen cities: Tokyo, Stockholm, Paris, Addis Ababa, Cape Town, and Kansas City, MO, one U.S. metro where starter homes are still relatively within reach. This, of course, is just a minute sample of the world, but already, we can see a number of intriguing similarities and differences.
Take the simple factors of architectural style and home size. With a typical starter home in Kansas City being a two-to-three bedroom single-family house, the square footage there tends to be higher than what first-time buyers would find in a Paris or Stockholm apartment.
But it’s certainly not just about what’s discerned at first glance. One key commonality to observe is how these cities of varying cultures and infrastructure are all dealing with the impact of increasing urbanization. In short, suburbs are important, transportation even more so, and “micro-housing” isn’t just relevant for megacities like New York. Below, take a closer look at the attributes of a typical starter home buyer in these cities and the market they can expect.
STOCKHOLM
Age: Late 20s-early 30s
Price: $240,000
Preferred style: Turn of the century one-to-two-bedroom apartment
Down payment: 15 percent and up
In 2010, Sweden introduced a mortgage cap of 85 percent. Whereas home buyers could once theoretically finance 100 percent of their home purchase, they now have to put down at least 15 percent cash up front. The goal there was to decrease the appetite for financing, but according to Staffan Tell, spokesperson for the Swedish real estate site Hemnet, the law has only created a “new culture where parents are much more involved.”
Tell says that prices do cool down a bit as you move farther out from central Stockholm, but only if you go far enough to where new construction developments are concentrated. Established suburbs about six miles outside of central Stockholm, for example, will have million-dollar homes that are way out of reach for young buyers. But Tell says the area where he personally lives, about 12 miles from central Stockholm, is expecting 2,000 new homes in the next 10 to 15 years.
PARIS
Age: 30s
Price: $500,000
Preferred style: One- to three-bedroom apartment in a more modern high-rise
Down payment: Less than 20 percent
According to Kathryn Brown of Paris Property Group, current home prices in Paris proper are sort of “15 percent off” what they were three or four years ago. Combined with an increased inventory and low mortgage rates of 2 to 2.5 percent, she says it’s a great time to buy a starter home.
Still, the price tags can be a bit eye-watering. Brown brings up her friends, a working couple with their first baby, who are scoping out a three-bedroom apartment in the 13th-arrondissement—which, along with arrondissements like the 18th, 19th, and 20th, are the areas on the edges of Paris where one would commonly find starter homes. The property in question is a 860 square foot flat asking €645,000 (~$727,300). This, Brown says, is a “pretty attractive deal.” If young families need more square footage at an affordable price, the only answer is fleeing to the suburbs.
Brown also points out that, in the larger scheme of things, homeownership is just less important in France, where people tend to marry later (or never), retreat often to family property in the countryside, and embrace an appealing rental market where rents fluctuate on a fixed amount, rising and falling with the cost of living. “I’ve been shocked to meet people who have been living in the same apartment for more than 20 years, and they don’t own it,” she says.
TOKYO
3-br, 827 sq.ft., $288,000 This apartment with a 134-square-foot balcony is in a 2007-built complex, located about 12 miles north of the center of Tokyo.
Age: 30s
Price: $240,000-$290,000
Preferred style: Brand new three-bedroom apartment or house
Down payment: 10-20 percent
The typical Tokyo metro area starter home would be an apartment (around 750 square feet) or detached wooden house (around 970 square feet) located in the outer suburbs. According to Zoe Ward of Japan Property Central, the average Tokyo office worker has about a one-hour commute by train each morning.
Ward says that though buyers traditionally favored brand new homes, recent increases in the price of new construction has created interest in existing and older buildings. In any case, Tokyo “starter homes” are less first-homes than once-in-a-lifetime purchases. “People will either rent or live with parents and in-laws until they are able to afford to buy their own home,” Ward writes over email. In fact, this kind of permanence often extends to the entire neighborhood.
She explains: “What happens is that the first round of young families will move into a new condominium complex or housing subdivision, and end up staying there for the next 40 years while everyone grows old together. The result is that the complex starts to resemble a retirement village. Newer families no longer move in, since they all move into the newer complexes as they are being built.”
CAPE TOWN
Age : Early 30s
Price: $80,000-$170,000
Preferred style: One- to two-bedroom apartment or cottage with city/mountain views
Down payment: 10 percent and up
The demand for homes is dramatically outpacing supply in Cape Town, leading to price inflations of about 10-20 percent per annum in recent years, according to Marthinus Botha of Greeff Properties. As a result, even suburbs that were once considered affordable are now seeing surges in property values.
Nevertheless, Sandra Barrett at Pam Golding Properties explains that Cape Town’s significant investment in public transportation (notably the MyCiTi bus rapid transit system) over the past five years has opened up more suburban areas for first-time home buyers.
“Connections via MyCiTi (bicycles are allowed on its buses) to more outlying routes surrounded by nature, such as Milnerton on the West Coast, have supported sales to buyers who enjoy cycling to work and exploring beautiful peri-urban areas over weekends,” she writes over email.
Barrett also notes that just like the rest of the world, South Africa is seeing a steady increase in the number of people living alone. Moreover, seeing how the average mortgage applicant in South Africa is 34 years old and the largest age group in Cape Town is currently the 25- to 29-year-old cohort, demand for starter homes in the city is expected to bulge in the next five years. This, Barrett says, is all reinforcing the “trend towards densification and micro-housing,” as developers are responding by building nearly four times as many condo properties last year as they did in the early 2000s.
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